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“The reduction of 1.5 degrees of the Paris Agreement will only happen if the cuts in emissions are accelerated in a big way”

“The path at 1.5 degrees is very narrow, but it still exists. Although it will not be for long if the cuts are not accelerated in a big way, “reflects Raquel Montón, who argues that complying with the warming level of the Paris Agreement” would make all future changes smaller and more manageable compared to warmer heating levels. Even 0.5 degrees make a big difference in how our future will unfold. “

The popular culture phrase “you don’t remember such a heat” makes sense if you take into account data such as those provided by the IPCC report, where it is detailed that the last five years have been the hottest recorded since 1850 or that the Global surface temperature was 1.09 degrees Celsius higher between 2011 and 2020 than between 1850-1990. And it is that since the Industrial Revolution emissions have not stopped growing and atmospheric carbon dioxide is at its highest level in 2 million years.

“Our footprint is everywhere: in the changes we are witnessing in the land, the ocean and at the poles and glaciers,” says Raquel Montón (Greenpeace), who believes that “this is only the beginning, if we continue to add carbon to the atmosphere. Every ton added is making the situation worse. ” In addition, Greenpeace’s Head of Campaigns in the Energy and Climate Change Area warns that the developments of the consequences will not be “linear, so there may be abrupt responses and turning points, with potentially very important implications.”

These circumstances lead the UN experts to conclude that some of the changes will be “irreversible for centuries or millennia”, another exhaustive statement such as the one that holds human beings responsible for the acceleration of climate change. Never before has such a text been pronounced with such harshness, especially since it must be approved by consensus of the 195 countries participating in the climate negotiations before the international body. In fact, the final 42-page text presented this Monday as an executive summary has been debated for the last two weeks, so its content completely erases any denial about climate change.

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Other data that support this thought are sea levels, which have tripled in recent years compared to the period 1901-1971. Taking the recent evolution as a reference, it is expected that in 2100 the increase could be 50 centimeters in the most optimistic scenario, while in the worst case scenario, the increase would amount to 80 centimeters, with which there would be more frequent coastal flooding and severe in low-lying areas and coastal erosion.

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